Connected Crises Intelligence Report 2026

A sharp bearish correction has hit the Cameroonian cocoa market, with ONCC FOB prices dropping to 1,760 FCFA/kg as of February 18, tracking a global downturn where futures have shed significant value ONCC, X Intelligence. This aligns with a broader 14.5% drop in CEMAC agricultural export prices reported for Q4 2025, driven largely by cocoa sector weakness Business in Cameroon. Buyers are advised to leverage this downward momentum while shifting procurement focus to the Mamfe and Kumba corridors, which currently offer the only reliable dry windows in the Southwest. Operational risks are bifurcated by region. While Mamfe enjoys optimal drying conditions, Buea and Nkongsamba are facing critical humidity levels (>85%) that trigger immediate Black Pod disease alerts Open-Meteo — Buea, Open-Meteo — Nkongsamba. [Full analysis available for customers]