Connected Crises Intelligence Report 2026

Security conditions within the immediate 150km corridor of the Reko Diq mine site remain highly volatile. In Chagai District (~49km from the mine), the Oil and Gas Development Company (OGDC) announced a $25 million investment in the Reko Diq project Profit by Pakistan Today. In Noshki (~130km), Pakistani military forces demolished structures near the ISI headquarters and ordered further evacuations amid ongoing clearance operations Estern Balochistan. The primary N-25 supply route faces severe interdiction risks and is currently assessed as NO_GO. An IED attack destroyed a police armored vehicle in Surab (~280km), killing the driver Estern Balochistan. In Khuzdar (~350km), armed men kidnapped 14 workers of a construction company, highlighting extreme risks to contractors X Intelligence. The Chaman border crossing (~200km) is completely closed due to open warfare between Pakistan and the Afghan Taliban Dawn. Regionally, a massive conflict has erupted with US and Israeli strikes killing Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in Tehran (>600km), prompting Iranian retaliatory missile strikes on US bases in the Gulf Dawn. [Full analysis available for customers]

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The security landscape in Tbilisi is currently defined by a major regional escalation and a significant shift in domestic labor policy. As of March 2, military strikes between Israel, the US, and Iran have triggered airspace closures across the Middle East, disrupting flights to and from Tbilisi. Tbilisi Mayor Kakha Kaladze is reportedly stranded in Dubai due to these cancellations Netgazeti. This regional instability poses immediate logistical risks for international travel and transit. Simultaneously, the ban on foreign nationals working in the gig economy (taxi, courier, tour guide sectors) without permanent residency came into force yesterday, March 1 Civil.ge. This creates a direct legal liability for international students engaged in part-time work. Domestically, political polarization remains acute following the UK's sanctioning of pro-government channels Imedi and POSTV for spreading Russian disinformation. The ruling party has responded defiantly, with Imedi TV announcing plans to launch its own bank to bypass financial pressure Civil.ge. Protests continue in Tbilisi, with marches marking the Soviet Occupation Day on February 25 Civil.ge. [Full analysis available for customers]