Iran Supreme Leader Succession Intelligence 2026

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Today is Day 12 of the US-Israel war against Iran. The threat environment remains critical due to regional spillover risks. On March 11, evacuations from Iran via the Astara border reached 2,225 people APA. The expected EU approval of the 20th sanctions package is advancing. SOCAR's Kulevi terminal was officially excluded on March 10 Report.az. Global oil prices remain highly volatile. Iran threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz on March 11 Al Jazeera. EU Council President Antonio Costa continued his Baku visit on March 11. He condemned Iran's recent drone attack on Nakhchivan Report.az. He also highlighted the strategic importance of the Middle Corridor Report.az. Expected freezing temperatures hit Nakhchivan on March 11. [Full analysis available for customers]

On March 11, global media highlighted the "hammer blow" of crashing global cocoa prices on African producers per Courrier international. Despite this macro pressure, local ONCC FOB prices rebounded slightly to 1,824 FCFA/kg (+8.4% from prior report), though cocoa remains inverted against robusta coffee (FOB 2,010 FCFA/kg). In the financial sector, Visa and Afriland First Bank signed a strategic digital payment agreement on March 11 per 237online, while Canyon Resources shareholders blocked Afriland's entry into the Minim Martap bauxite project per Investir au Cameroun. Security in the core cocoa belt remains highly volatile. On March 6 (previously reported), Ambazonia fighters killed three soldiers in an ambush in Afua (North West) per CMRNewsAgency, while two civilians were killed in Kumbo for defying a curfew. Logistical corridors face financial threats, as the CDEC threatened seizures against banks financing the Bamenda-Babajou road project on March 6 per Investir au Cameroun. Conversely, Gulfcam announced plans on March 10 to acquire six vessels to shift 50% of Douala-Kribi freight to maritime cabotage per Investir au Cameroun. [Full analysis available for customers]