Cameroon Far North Boko Haram Assessment 2026

On March 20, the government proposed extending the parliamentary mandate to December 20, 2026, per. On March 19, the government suspended fuel imports for seven major marketers over payment disputes per, threatening transport logistics. In the security domain, on March 21, the Supreme Court ordered a retrial for Anglophone separatist leaders per. On March 19, ONCC reported cocoa FOB prices at 1,747 FCFA/kg per, while farmgate prices crashed to 800-1,200 FCFA/kg, prompting reports of farmer suicides on March 19 per. Weather conditions remain challenging; sustained humidity above 89% in the Southwest region continues to trigger critical Black Pod disease risks and impede natural sun-drying. The combination of crashing farmgate prices, severe Black Pod risks from high humidity, and the March 19 fuel import suspension creates a compounding crisis. Farmers lack capital for fungicides just as disease risk peaks, while fuel shortages threaten to strand whatever beans are harvested, exacerbating the structural supply deficit and increasing the likelihood of cross-border smuggling.

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