Who is actually governing Iran? Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has not appeared publicly since his March 8 appointment.
Severe injuries sustained during the February 28 strikes likely prevent his appearance.
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) now controls the state apparatus.
This absence creates a critical intelligence gap regarding the true locus of power in Tehran.
The military operates independently of the civilian government, sidelining the Provisional Leadership Council.
The Assembly of Experts elevated the former leader's son despite internal opposition warning against hereditary leadership.
Russian state media attempts to project stability, but the reality remains opaque.
Businesses must prepare for prolonged volatility as the IRGC dictates regional strategy and maintains the Strait of Hormuz blockade.
Iran recently submitted a three-phase peace proposal to the United States, offering delayed nuclear talks in exchange for ending the naval blockade.
However, without a visible head of state, the credibility of these diplomatic overtures remains highly questionable.
The military effectively rules Iran.
Your Iranian operations face a total leadership vacuum today. Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei suffered severe injuries during the February 28 strikes. He has not appeared publicly since his recent appointment. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps now controls the government directly. You must halt all pending contract negotiations immediately. Prepare your compliance teams for sudden policy shifts and new sanctions under military rule.
The military apparatus operates independently of the civilian government. The IRGC sidelined the Provisional Leadership Council, which includes President Masoud Pezeshkian and Judiciary Chief Gholamhossein Mohseni Ejei (The National News). IRGC Ground Forces and provincial units maintain total operational control over state decisions (Forbes). The military pushed the recent leadership appointment through the clerical establishment (Iran International). This marks a permanent shift toward military rule in Tehran.
The Assembly of Experts met on March 8 to elevate the former leader's son (Eurasia Review). Several clerics opposed the move, warning against hereditary leadership (Iran International). The Assembly building in Qom suffered a bombing on March 3, forcing a relocated vote (Wikipedia). State television anchors currently read the new leader's statements (Jerusalem Post). His office also posts messages on social media platform X instead of broadcasting live addresses (JNS).
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