Tajikistan: HIGH Risk — Afghan Border & Domestic Instability

The security environment for American NGO operations in Khatlon Province remains HIGH. The most critical operational development is the official implementation of the Russian gasoline export ban on April 1, confirmed by Avesta on March 28. This will likely trigger immediate fuel shortages and price spikes in Kulob and Muminabad, threatening evacuation mobility. Additionally, the spring military conscription campaign began on April 1, with Khatlon Province reporting 100% fulfillment of its quota on the first day(press-ganging) tactics, posing a severe detention risk to local national male staff at checkpoints. Religious persecution and strict enforcement of social laws continue to escalate, representing an existential risk to foreign missionary and NGO personnel. On March 31, TjRusNews reported that a 64-year-old woman in Isfara was fined 7,000 TJS simply for sending 'religious videos' to relatives, the US-Iran conflict continues to destabilize the region, with US casualties reported at a Saudi base and airspace restrictions expanding: The Russian fuel export ban has taken effect as anticipated. The delays of cargo trucks at the Uzbekistan-Tajikistan border remain unresolved as of March 31

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