Cote d'Ivoire Cashew Daily Brief

Côte d'Ivoire cashew update, June 12. The 2026 campaign commercialized 1,250,000 MT of raw cashew nuts through late May 2026, according to a tier-1 industry analyst publication. The total crop projection stands at 1,300,000 MT. Harvesting may continue into July in some areas, with warehouse activity expected through the end of June. At the ports, 68,000 MT of raw cashew nuts in trucks are awaiting delivery. Local processors purchased 700,000 MT year-to-date. Farmgate transactions range between 400 and 500 FCFA/kg across the northern cashew belt. The official farmgate floor holds at 400 FCFA/kg. Cooperative group sales cleared 40 tonnes in Hambol, 40 tonnes in Kouto, and 40 tonnes in Boundiali to enforce the floor price. A cooperative in Korhogo reported a price of 600 FCFA/kg, while another reported 300 FCFA/kg.

Average humidity remains high across the northern cashew belt, with stations recording between 61 and 82 percent. Flooding in the Poro and Hambol regions threatens late-stage harvest drying and storage, elevating post-harvest moisture risks.

Security alerts have been issued along the Korhogo-Mali border amid ongoing regional instability, disrupting cross-border logistics. A JNIM blockade continues to affect regional trade corridors.

Port operations continue in Abidjan and San Pedro without major congestion. Next CCAK bulletin expected mid-June.

Top developments

• Campaign commercialization reaches 1.25 million MT. Through late May 2026
• Flooding in Poro and Hambol threatens late-stage drying. Elevates aflatoxin risks
• Korhogo cooperative reports 600 FCFA/kg transaction. 200 FCFA above floor
• JNIM blockades disrupt northern cross-border transit. Impacting Mali/Burkina Faso axes

The 2026 campaign commercialized 1,250,000 MT of raw cashew nuts through late May 2026, according to a tier-1 industry analyst publication. Local processors purchased 700,000 MT year-to-date. Quality is lower than the prior-year comparable period, with kernel out-turn ratios testing between 43 and 45 lbs per 80kg bag, and outturns as low as 40 lbs reported in some areas. Farmgate transactions range between 400 and 500 FCFA/kg across the northern cashew belt. The official farmgate floor holds at 400 FCFA/kg.

Quality outlook. Quality is lower than 2025, with kernel out-turn ratios testing between 43 and 45 lbs per 80kg bag, and outturns as low as 40 lbs reported in some areas.

Price signals

• CCA farmgate floor holds at 400 FCFA/kg (2026 campaign).
• Korhogo cooperative reports sales at 600 FCFA/kg (2026-06-12).
• Kouto cooperative group sales clearing at 400 FCFA/kg (2026-06-08).
• Korhogo cooperative reports sales at 300 FCFA/kg (2026-06-12).

Policy

• New cashew transformation agreement highlighted, supporting domestic processing targets.

Regional quotes

Supply status: Balanced   Processor window: Closed

XOF is pegged to EUR at 655.957. USD/XOF is currently 567.88, maintaining pressure on dollar-denominated export margins.

The spread between 300 and 600 FCFA/kg in the same town on the same day is the point. A single national floor price tells a buyer very little about what they will actually pay.

Ghana's 581 FCFA/kg minimum price maintains a lucrative 181 FCFA/kg premium over the Ivorian floor, heavily incentivizing outbound smuggling. Inbound flows from Mali and Burkina Faso present an opportunity for Ivorian buyers due to lower neighbor floors.

Net flow incentive: 171 FCFA/kg after ~10 FCFA/kg transport   Direction: Outbound   Risk: High

Most exposed border regions: Poro, Bagoué, Tchologo, Bounkani, Gontougo, Zanzan.

Current estimate: 1,300,000 MT   Phase: Late Harvest   Year over year: Flat

Tier-1 industry analyst publication indicating volumes expected to reach 1.3 million tonnes.

Late-stage harvest drying operations face significant pressure due to ongoing flooding and high humidity in the Poro and Hambol regions. These conditions severely constrain sun-drying capacity, elevating the risk of raw cashew nuts exceeding the 5% moisture threshold required for safe storage, which in turn increases aflatoxin rejection risks. Furthermore, an alert regarding Alternariose was flagged via CCAK channels, though post-harvest moisture management remains the primary structural threat to the late crop's quality.

Average humidity remains high across the northern cashew belt, with stations recording between 61 and 82 percent. Flooding in the Poro and Hambol regions threatens late-stage harvest drying and storage, elevating post-harvest moisture risks. These conditions severely constrain sun-drying capacity, elevating the risk of raw cashew nuts exceeding the 5% moisture threshold required for safe storage.

Drying window: Severely constrained over the next 48-72 hours due to high humidity and flooding in Poro and Hambol.

Station readings and 72-hour forecast

Overall: Strained

Heavy flooding in the core northern cashew belt (Poro and Hambol regions) is degrading secondary road networks, complicating farmgate-to-warehouse transit. The elevated moisture and transport delays pose a severe risk to late-stage harvest drying, likely resulting in RCN arriving at processing facilities with moisture levels exceeding the 12% safe-storage threshold.

Port of Abidjan

Recommendation: Buyers should carefully review mechanical drying capacity at destination warehouses, as RCN arriving from flooded northern zones will likely require immediate moisture management. Logistics coordinators should factor in transit delays on the Korhogo-Abidjan corridor due to localized washouts and recent accidents. Cross-border shipments from Mali/Burkina Faso should be paused or heavily monitored due to reported JNIM blockades.

Northern border and militant threat High

The security posture in northern Côte d'Ivoire remains elevated due to persistent spillover risks from Mali and Burkina Faso. Security forces are maintaining active patrols in the Poro and Tchologo regions, specifically around Ferkessédougou and the Korhogo-Mali corridor.

Supply chain impact: JNIM blockades and heightened security alerts on the Korhogo-Mali border are impacting cross-border transit corridors.

Corridors: Korhogo-Abidjan transit is slowed by flooding and accidents.

Crime and banditry Elevated

Persistent risk of highway banditry and targeted extortion against commodity buyers. Multiple informal gold mining (orpaillage) disputes have been reported across the cashew belt, including Bouaké, potentially impacting local transit routes.

Supply chain impact: Creates localized operational slowdowns on secondary evacuation routes, delaying raw cashew nut deliveries to central aggregation points.

EUDR risk rating for Cote d'Ivoire: Standard. No certification updates or export impacts reported this period.

The 2026 campaign commercialized 1,250,000 MT of raw cashew nuts through late May 2026. The official farmgate floor held at 400 FCFA/kg throughout the campaign, with recent transactions ranging between 400 and 600 FCFA/kg. High humidity continues to challenge late-season drying efforts, elevating aflatoxin risks. Recent fatal incidents and blockades in the northern belt have elevated the overall threat level to HIGH.

Price trajectory: Stable   Threat trajectory: Stable

Recurring themes:

• High humidity elevating post-harvest moisture risks
• Strong domestic processing volume growth
• Cross-border logistics friction on the Mali axis
• Localized orpaillage disputes in the northern belt

Every Region Alert brief closes with defined thresholds rather than adjectives, so you can hold the assessment to account.