Weekly Intelligence Brief

Ivory Coast Cocoa Supply Chain, V5 · 7 Day Summary

2026-07-10, 2026-07-16 · 7 days analyzed CRITICAL

Bottom Line Up Front

Four African nations formed an alliance to halt raw cocoa exports while severe road breakdowns block physical movement.

Price. ICCO 5,996.85 USD/tonne, -2.1% on the week (settle 2026-07-15). The international benchmark fell from $6,127.13 per tonne on July 9 to $5,996.85 per tonne on July 15.

Supply. Over 150,000 tonnes of beans were loaded at San Pedro over the past two weeks. The farmgate price remains at 1,200 FCFA per kilogram.

Crop. Heavy rains closed drying windows and triggered confirmed black pod and swollen shoot outbreaks.

Flow. Flooding at San Pedro port and a damaged bridge on the A7 highway disrupt movement.

Policy. On July 14 four countries formed the Abuja Alliance to halt raw cocoa bean exports.

Watch next. Watch for export license suspensions from the new alliance over the next seven days.

Farmgate / Bord-Champ — on the ground

Mid crop (now)

1500 FCFA/kg

Transacting above the 1200 official floor

Zones. In Soubre and the wider Nawa region buyers are paying 1500 FCFA per kilogram. This sits well above the official 1200 floor due to scarcity. Heavy rains in the southern and western regions raise fears of flooding. In the Goh region cooperatives are asking local officials to resolve an ongoing sector crisis.

Net to the farmer. Prolonged rainfall and high humidity have closed drying windows. This creates high risks for mold and poor fermentation. Political opposition claims cocoa is degrading in the hands of farmers. Black pod disease and swollen shoot virus are spreading rapidly. Ahead of the new campaign residual unsold cocoa stocks remain stranded in several areas. Cooperatives accuse the council of failing to help move these beans.

Buyer read. Expect to pay premiums up to 1500 FCFA per kilogram in Soubre to secure volume. Prepare for lower quality beans due to closed drying windows and stranded cooperative stocks.

Crop — What Is On The Ground (past 90 days)

Unverified ground-level signals, grouped by topic. These are raw field intelligence — not forecasts and not confirmed facts. Each entry shows its source date, location, and reliability tier (Tier 1 = most reliable). Weigh them yourself.

Arrivals

2026-07-15

Weekly arrivals were about 24,000 tonnes. Cumulative arrivals since October 1 are reported between 1.86 million tonnes, up about 8 percent year on year. Figures vary by source.

Positive and improving

2026-07-09 · Côte d'Ivoire Tier 3

The country is introducing new high-yield coffee varieties to renew its aging orchards, aiming to boost productivity and improve cup quality.

2026-06-01 · Côte d'Ivoire Tier 3

Light rains help strengthen the cocoa mid-crop and improve bean quality.

2026-06-01 Tier 3

Ivory Coast cocoa mid-crop gains momentum as timely rains improve bean quality.

2026-05-25 Tier 3

Heavier rains in CI boost mid-crop prospects, improving intensity compared to previous weeks.

2026-05-23 Tier 3

Ivory Coast expects cocoa production to reach 2-2.1 million tonnes in the 2025/26 season, a 10.5% recovery.

Rain and weather

2026-07-13 · Southern Côte d'Ivoire Tier 3

SODEXAM issues an alert for heavy rains and flood risks across the southern half of the country, threatening cocoa drying and transport.

2026-07-13 · Ivory Coast Tier 2

Cocoa farmers report that more sun is urgently needed to dry beans and strengthen the crop, following weeks of excessive rainfall.

2026-07-07 · Côte d'Ivoire Tier 3

Cocoa farmers express concern that patchy rains in several key growing regions could result in a smaller mid-crop (petite traite) than initially projected.

2026-07-07 · Abidjan and San Pedro Tier 3

SODEXAM issues an urgent alert for heavy rains and high flood risks in coastal regions over the next 48 hours, threatening cocoa drying and transport. (ONGOING SITUATION)

2026-07-03 · Zegban Tier 2

Over 500 families are displaced and forced to abandon their homes in the village of Zegban (Fresco department) due to severe flooding from heavy rains.

2026-07-02 · Agboville Tier 1

Severe floods in the Agnéby-Tiassa region have left 10 dead and displaced nearly 3,000 people, disrupting local agricultural infrastructure.

Flowering and pod set

2026-05-07 Tier 3

Early surveys indicate below-average cherelle formation on cocoa trees in Ivory Coast and Ghana, signaling a weak outlook for the 2026/27 main crop starting in October. Driving market short-covering.

Disease and pests

2026-07-14 · Soubré Tier 3

Cocoa farmers in the Nawa region are expressing deep concern over the rapid spread of swollen shoot disease, threatening mid-crop yields.

2026-07-13 Tier 2

Ivory Coast cocoa farmers report that more sun is needed to strengthen the cocoa crop and consolidate the harvest, as persistent rains raise disease risks.

2026-07-12 · Soubré Tier 3

Cocoa farmers express deep concern over the spread of brown rot (pourriture brune/black pod) caused by recent heavy rains, threatening bean quality.

2026-07-12 · Côte d'Ivoire Tier 1

The 2026/27 main cocoa crop is expected to decline by more than 10% due to heavy rains, black pod disease, and poor crop management linked to El Niño.

2026-07-11 Tier 1

international wire services reports that Côte d'Ivoire's 2026/27 cocoa crop is expected to drop significantly due to excess rains and black pod disease.

2026-07-10 · National Tier 1

Pod counters and exporters project that the Ivory Coast 2026/27 main cocoa crop will drop by more than 10% due to excess rainfall, black pod disease, and poor farm maintenance.

Inputs (fertilizer)

2026-07-07 · Ivory Coast Tier 3

Field reports indicate that farmers are cutting back on fertilizer and crop protection spending due to high costs. Combined with patchy weather and weak pod development, future harvest quality is highly threatened.

2026-06-23 · National Tier 3

Cocoa farmers are facing severe operational hardships due to soaring prices for essential inputs, including fertilizers, fuel, and basic foodstuffs, squeezing farmgate margins.

2026-06-14 · Soubré Tier 3

Farmers report severe difficulties accessing inputs, raising fears about the mid-crop (petite traite) yields. This lack of fertilizers and pesticides in the Nawa region is a direct threat to production targets.

2026-06-05 Tier 1

Ivory Coast cocoa strategy shaped by El Nino fears, fertilizer costs, and aging farms.

2026-05-26 Tier 3

HSAT survey across Nawa, Agneby Tiassa, and Sud Comoe reveals 73% of CI cocoa farmers have not purchased fertilizer for the next two production cycles.

2026-05-26 Tier 3

Nawa, Agneby Tiassa, Sud Comoe: 73% of farmers have not bought fertilizer for the next two production cycles, raising severe concerns for future cocoa yields.

Yield, area and quality

2026-06-18 · National Tier 3

Environment Minister Abou Bamba warns that land degradation from climate change and illegal gold mining (orpaillage) is causing a drop in food crop yields and displacing the cocoa belt.

2026-06-12 · National Tier 2

Growing concerns regarding the yield and quality of the current cocoa production. Reports indicate issues with bean consistency and potential 'degrading' due to weather-related drying challenges.

2026-06-03 Tier 2

CI: Ivory Coast slows cocoa export sales and raises export premiums as harvest risks cloud the outlook.

2026-06-01 Tier 3

CI: Estimated 21% production hit due to 8.5% more acreage abandoned and 11% lower yield on harvested acres.

2026-05-27 Tier 3

Analysis of the ongoing Côte d'Ivoire cocoa crisis highlighting socioeconomic and biophysical drivers impacting smallholder yields.

2026-05-22 Tier 3

CCC officially forecasts a 10.5% cocoa production increase for the 2025/26 season.

7 Days Covered	CRITICAL Weekly Threat
468 Items Analyzed	2/3 New Alerts / Themes

Threat note: Maintained at CRITICAL due to severe logistics breakdowns on the Soubré-San Pedro corridor, violent clashes over illegal mining, and the strategic market shift signaled by the Abuja Alliance.

Executive Recap● CHANGED

The formation of the Abuja Alliance to halt raw cocoa exports and severe logistics breakdowns on the A7 highway dominate a tightening physical market.

The week was defined by a major structural policy shift and compounding local crises. On July 14, Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, Nigeria, and Cameroon announced the formation of the Abuja Alliance, a coordinated effort to halt raw cocoa bean exports in favor of domestic processing.

This development, reported by regional sources, signals a long-term tightening of global raw bean availability as African producers seek to capture more value from the supply chain. Simultaneously, the physical evacuation of the mid-crop faces severe bottlenecks.

Between July 11 and July 15, the critical A7 highway connecting the western producing belt to the port of San Pedro degraded significantly. Temporary closures of the Sassandra river bridge, flooding at the San Pedro container terminal, and the near-impassability of the Gabiadji bridge for heavy trucks have created a logistics crisis.

Furthermore, heavy rains in the Nawa region have triggered confirmed outbreaks of black pod and swollen shoot diseases, leading international wire services to forecast a contraction of more than 10% for the 2026/27 main crop. Security conditions remain volatile, exacerbating labor and transport risks.

On July 14, violent clashes between security forces and illegal gold miners (orpailleurs) in Kouégo left one dead and six injured. The international cocoa benchmark saw a peak-to-trough correction, with the ICCO Daily Composite opening at $6,127.

13/tonne (July 9 settle) and closing at $5,996.85/tonne (July 15 settle). Looking ahead, buyers must monitor the immediate implementation steps of the Abuja Alliance and the urgent need for road repairs on the A7 corridor to prevent stranded mid-crop volumes.

Price Reference (authoritative)

Authoritative reference values for the reporting period. Where text elsewhere cites prices, this table prevails.

Price	Open	Close	Range	Δ%	Unit
ICCO Daily Composite	6,127.13	5,996.85	5,944.74–6,124.33	-2.1%	USD/tonne · settle 2026-07-15

FX Rates: XOF: 571.93/USD

Sources: ICCO Daily Composite (International Cocoa Organization), Conseil du Café-Cacao (PVAM auction and farmgate decree), BCEAO FX peg, COCOBOD producer-price publications.

Price Dashboard, Week Summary

Origin	Open	Close	Range	Δ%
ICCO Daily	6,127.13 USD/T · settle 2026-07-15	5,996.85	5,944.74–6,124.33	-2.1%
CCC PVAM (current period)	3,457 FCFA/kg	3,312	3,312–3,638	-4.2%
CI Farmgate Floor	1,200 FCFA/kg	1,200	1,200–1,200	,
Ghana COCOBOD (GHS)	41,392 GHS/tonne	41,392	41,392–41,392	stable
Ghana COCOBOD (USD)	3.6 USD/kg	3.6	3.6–3.6	stable

ICCO Daily Composite: The international cocoa benchmark (ICCO Daily Composite) opened the week at $6,127.13/tonne (2026-07-09 settle) and fell to $5,996.85/tonne (2026-07-15 settle), a net -2.13% over the period.

CCC PVAM: The CCC's forward-auction reference price (PVAM) proxy opened at 3,457 FCFA/kg, peaked at 3,638 FCFA/kg on July 13, and closed the week at 3,312 FCFA/kg.

Farmgate vs ICCO evolution:
The gap between the Ivorian farmgate floor and the international benchmark remains a source of severe friction. With the ICCO Daily Composite closing at $5,996.85/tonne, local farmers are increasingly frustrated by the disparity, fueling political opposition and cross-border smuggling incentives.

All prices computed at week-close exchange rates. CCC publishes farmgate floor + PVAM forward-auction curve only (not CIF/FOB). ICCO settle dates above are T+1 published.

Priority Alerts, Lifecycle This Week● CHANGED

2 new, 0 resolved, 4 persistent

New this week (2)

P1NEW

Formation of the Abuja Alliance to halt raw cocoa exports

Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, Nigeria, and Cameroon announced the formation of the Abuja Alliance. The coalition plans to coordinate policies and halt raw cocoa bean exports to promote local industrial processing and capture more value.

Impact · This structural shift threatens to severely restrict the availability of raw beans on the global market. Buyers must assess their reliance on West African raw exports and explore local processing partnerships.

First reported: 2026-07-14

P2NEW

CCC deploys specialized agents for social traceability

The Conseil du Café-Cacao (CCC) and the National Surveillance Committee launched a reinforced social traceability system, deploying specialized agents (AOTS) in cocoa zones to combat child labor.

Impact · This deployment aligns with upcoming EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) and social compliance mandates. Buyers should expect stricter documentation requirements at the cooperative level.

First reported: 2026-07-14

Carrying forward (4)

P3CARRYING7 days active

Main crop forecast to contract by more than 10%

Day 2 (July 11): Projections of a 10% drop emerged due to excessive rainfall and disease. Day 3 (July 12): Reports confirmed black pod and poor crop management linked to El Niño. Day 4 (July 13): The forecast was widely corroborated by international media.

First reported: 2026-07-10

P3CARRYING6 days active

San Pedro port flooding and A7 highway degradation

Day 2 (July 11): The Sassandra river bridge closed temporarily. Day 3 (July 12): Heavy rains caused flooding at the San Pedro container terminal. Day 5 (July 14): Severe degradation of the A7 highway caused major delays. Day 6 (July 15): The Gabiadji bridge became nearly impassable for trucks over 20 tonnes.

First reported: 2026-07-11

P3CARRYING7 days active

Massive crackdown on illegal gold mining (Orpaillage)

Day 3 (July 12): Gendarmerie destroyed 70 illegal mining units in Moronou. Day 5 (July 14): Violent clashes in Kouégo left one dead and six injured. Day 6 (July 15): Security forces reinforced their presence in Kouégo, declaring 'the law remains supreme'.

First reported: 2026-07-10

P3CARRYING9 days active

Cooperative payment crisis and farmgate underpricing

Day 2 (July 11): Soubré cooperatives reported 500 million FCFA in payment delays. Day 5 (July 14): Field reports indicated buyers in Soubré were offering 1,200 FCFA/kg, undercutting the official 1,500 FCFA/kg mid-crop expectation.

First reported: 2026-07-08

Persistent Themes, Day-by-Day Evolution○ WATCH

Abuja Alliance and Export Policy Shift

First appeared: 2026-07-14

This week: On July 14, reports surfaced that Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, Nigeria, and Cameroon formed the Abuja Alliance. The coalition's primary goal is to halt raw cocoa bean exports to promote domestic industrial processing. The Côte d'Ivoire-Ghana Cocoa Initiative (CIGCI) is also seeking to expand its influence across Africa. By July 15, Nigeria explicitly confirmed plans to halt raw exports.

Buyer significance: This represents a fundamental threat to the traditional raw bean export model. Buyers must prepare for a future where securing West African cocoa requires purchasing semi-finished products or investing in local processing capacity.

Outlook next 7d: Watch for official implementation timelines and any immediate regulatory changes regarding export licenses.

Logistics Collapse on the A7 Corridor

First appeared: 2026-07-11

This week: On July 11, the Sassandra river bridge on the A7 highway closed temporarily for maintenance. On July 12, heavy rains flooded the San Pedro container terminal, blocking access. By July 14, severe degradation of the A7 highway caused major transport delays. On July 15, the Gabiadji bridge became nearly impassable for trucks over 20 tonnes.

Buyer significance: The A7 is the primary artery for evacuating cocoa from the western belt to San Pedro. Impassability forces costly rerouting, delays shipments, and increases the risk of bean degradation during transit.

Outlook next 7d: Monitor emergency repair efforts on the Gabiadji bridge and alternative routing options to Abidjan.

Crop Disease Outbreaks (Black Pod and Swollen Shoot)

First appeared: 2026-07-11

This week: On July 11, projections of a 10% crop drop emerged due to excessive rainfall. On July 12, farmers in Soubré expressed deep concern over black pod disease (pourriture brune) spreading rapidly. On July 14, reports highlighted severe anxiety over swollen shoot disease (CSSVD) propagation in the Nawa region.

Buyer significance: Confirmed outbreaks of black pod and swollen shoot directly threaten both the current mid-crop quality and the upcoming 2026/27 main crop yields, validating the >10% contraction forecasts.

Outlook next 7d: Monitor humidity levels in Man and Soubré, which are approaching critical thresholds that accelerate fungal spread.

Logistics, Week Summary

Abidjan Port	Operational, but likely to see increased pressure if the San Pedro corridor remains compromised.
San Pedro Port	Severely disrupted. The port experienced temporary flooding at the container terminal, and the primary access route (A7 highway) is heavily degraded.
Northern corridor	Degraded due to rehabilitation works on the A3 national highway (Yamoussoukro-Bouaké section) causing localized slowdowns.
Eastern corridor	Degraded due to ongoing anti-smuggling enforcement operations.
Western corridor	Degraded due to heavy rains, active illegal mining operations, and heightened border patrols.
Vessel activity	Over 150,000 tonnes of cocoa beans were loaded at the Port of San Pedro over the past two weeks despite disruptions.

Key developments this week:

July 11: Sassandra river bridge on the A7 closed temporarily.
July 12: Flooding temporarily blocked access to the San Pedro container terminal.
July 14: Severe degradation reported on the A7 highway between Soubré and San Pedro.
July 15: Gabiadji bridge reported nearly impassable for trucks over 20 tonnes.

Security, Week Summary

Northern CI security: The jihadist threat posture remains stable but elevated in the northern border regions. While no direct attacks were reported this week, heightened border patrols and anti-smuggling checkpoints reflect ongoing security vigilance.

Incidents (5)

2026-07-12	Moronou · other Gendarmerie destroyed 70 pieces of illegal gold mining equipment in Agoua and Brou-Akpaoussou to protect agricultural lands.
2026-07-13	Touba-Biankouma axis · civilian A tragic passenger bus accident occurred when the vehicle plunged into the Bafing river, resulting in at least 24 fatalities.
2026-07-14	Kouégo (Worofla) · armed Violent clashes erupted between gendarmes and illegal gold miners (orpailleurs clandestins), leaving one dead and six injured.
2026-07-14	Tengréla · other Three excavators were seized during the dismantling of an illegal mining site.
2026-07-14	Sassandra River · other Security forces destroyed illegal gold mining dredges operating on the river.

Border events (1)

2026-07-14

Guinea
Gendarmerie forces in Odienné intercepted and seized 50 tonnes of smuggled cocoa destined for Guinea (Côte d'Ivoire → Guinea).

Buyer implication · The intensification of anti-mining (orpaillage) operations is causing localized violence and disrupting agricultural labor in the western and eastern belts. Buyers should ensure transport personnel avoid conflict zones like Kouégo.

Crop Conditions, Week Summary

Humidity trajectory	Average humidity across the cocoa belt ranged from 75.2% in Soubré to 85.2% in Man. Man experienced peak days of 90% and 92% humidity.
Rainfall total	Heavy rains were reported consistently across the southern and western regions, prompting alerts from Sodexam.
Drying window	closed
Quality conditions	Prolonged rainfall and high humidity have severely restricted drying windows, leading to elevated fermentation and mold risks for harvested beans. Field evidence explicitly confirms outbreaks of black pod disease (pourriture brune) and swollen shoot virus (CSSVD) in the Nawa region.

The combination of closed drying windows and confirmed disease outbreaks (black pod and swollen shoot) in critical producing zones like Soubré poses a severe threat to both current mid-crop quality and the upcoming main crop yields. Analysts now project a contraction of more than 10% for the 2026/27 harvest.

Predictions vs Outcomes○ WATCH

2026-07-14: The A7 corridor between Soubré and San Pedro was expected to become completely impassable.

partial (evidence 2026-07-15)

The Gabiadji bridge became nearly impassable for trucks over 20 tonnes, severely restricting but not completely halting all traffic. Continue monitoring alternative routes.

2026-07-14: Humidity in Soubré and Man was expected to remain sustained above 90%.

occurred (evidence 2026-07-12)

Man recorded humidity levels of 90% and 92%, confirming the environmental conditions driving the confirmed black pod outbreaks.

2026-07-14: Retaliation or escalation was anticipated following the fatal clashes in Kouégo (Séguéla).

occurred (evidence 2026-07-14)

Violent clashes erupted again on July 14, leaving one dead and six injured, confirming the volatility of anti-mining operations.

2026-07-14: Official joint declarations from the 'Cocoa OPEC' alliance regarding export suspensions were expected.

occurred (evidence 2026-07-14)

The Abuja Alliance was formally announced by Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, Nigeria, and Cameroon, marking a historic policy shift.

Forward Outlook, Next 7 Days○ WATCH

Watch items

next_7d: Implementation decrees or export license suspensions from the Abuja Alliance.

→ Immediate tightening of raw bean availability and potential force majeure declarations on existing export contracts.

Basis: Formation of the Abuja Alliance announced on July 14.

next_48h: Complete failure of the Gabiadji bridge on the A7 highway.

→ Total halt of heavy truck traffic between Soubré and San Pedro, stranding mid-crop volumes inland.

Basis: Reports on July 15 that the bridge is nearly impassable for trucks over 20 tonnes.

next_48h: Further retaliation following illegal mining clashes in Kouégo.

→ Disruption of local agricultural labor and potential road blockages in the Worofla region.

Basis: Violent clashes leaving one dead and six injured on July 14.

next_7d: Sustained humidity above 90% in Man and Soubré.

→ Accelerated spread of confirmed black pod disease and severe mold development in stored beans.

Basis: Man recorded 92% humidity this week alongside confirmed disease outbreaks.

Buyer recommendations

P1Delay non-essential deliveries to San Pedro and explore rerouting to Abidjan.

Timing: Immediate

The A7 highway is severely degraded and the Gabiadji bridge cannot safely support heavy trucks.

P1Implement strict moisture and mold testing for all deliveries originating from the Nawa region.

Timing: Ongoing

Confirmed outbreaks of black pod and closed drying windows significantly elevate quality risks.

P2Assess supply chain exposure to raw bean export bans.

Timing: Next 7 days

The Abuja Alliance announcement signals a rapid shift toward mandatory local processing.

Dates to watch: Monitor daily weather forecasts for the Nawa region. Watch for official CCC communications regarding the enforcement of the 1,500 FCFA/kg mid-crop farmgate price.

Field Intelligence, Full Week Log

42 events this week (deduplicated across the period)

Supply & Stocks (10)

TIER 1

9 sources

Côte d'Ivoire's 2026/27 main cocoa crop is projected to decline by more than 10% due to heavy rains, black pod disease, and poor crop management linked to El Niño. (Côte d'Ivoire)

9 sources · 07-11 to 07-13

TIER 2

2 sources

Cocoa farmers are calling for more sun and better drying conditions to strengthen and consolidate the current harvest, as persistent rains raise disease concerns. (Côte d'Ivoire)

2 sources · 07-13

2 sources

A report highlights productivity as the primary lever for increasing farmer incomes in Côte d'Ivoire's cocoa sector, emphasizing yield improvements over land expansion. (Côte d'Ivoire)

2 sources · 07-14

TIER 3

Global cocoa prices surged as analysts reassessed supply risks stemming from adverse weather and crop diseases in West Africa. (West Africa)

1 sources · 07-10

Cocoa farmers in the Nawa region are highly concerned over the spread of swollen shoot disease in Soubré, threatening mid-crop yields. (Soubré, Nawa)

1 sources · 07-14

Sodexam issued an alert for heavy rains in the southern and western regions, increasing the risk of brown rot disease in cocoa plantations. (Côte d'Ivoire)

1 sources · 07-14

Ivory Coast cocoa arrivals rose by 24,000 tonnes in the week ending July 12, matching the previous week and bringing total arrivals to 1.855 million tonnes, which is 7.5% above last season. (Côte d'Ivoire)

1 sources · 07-15

Heavy rains have raised fears of flooding and crop disease, causing global cocoa prices to spike again due to weather-related crop risks. (Côte d'Ivoire)

1 sources · 07-09

Cocoa cooperatives in the Goh region are calling on the prefectural body to act urgently to resolve the ongoing crisis in the cocoa sector. (Goh)

1 sources · 07-09

Ahead of the new campaign, residual unsold cocoa stocks remain uncollected in several localities, with cooperatives accusing the Conseil du Café-Cacao of failing to facilitate evacuation. (Côte d'Ivoire)

1 sources · 07-09

Pricing & Farmgate (8)

TIER 2

3 sources

Farmgate cocoa prices in Cameroon are approaching 3,000 FCFA/kg at the close of the 2025/26 season, significantly higher than Ivorian rates. (Cameroon)

3 sources · 07-11

2 sources

The Conseil du Café-Cacao consolidated pricing for July 14, 2026, lists Cocoa CIF at 3312 FCFA/kg and FOB at 3312 FCFA/kg, and Robusta CIF/FOB at 2223 FCFA/kg. (Côte d'Ivoire)

2 sources · 07-16

TIER 3

4 sources

Ghana COCOBOD maintains GHS 2,587/bag farmgate (mid-crop). (Ghana)

4 sources · 07-14

4 sources

Farmgate prices are reported at 1,500 FCFA/kg, which is above the 1,200 official floor. (Soubré)

4 sources · 07-14

2 sources

ICCO Daily Composite settled at $5976.31/tonne on 2026-07-13.

2 sources · 07-16

Excessive rainfall and crop diseases in West Africa have pushed up cocoa prices by 93% for shippers, reflecting severe supply constraints. (West Africa)

1 sources · 07-15

Political opposition claims cocoa is degrading in farmers' hands due to low prices, criticizing the government's 47,820 billion FCFA development plan. (Côte d'Ivoire)

1 sources · 07-10

New York cocoa prices jumped to $6,094/tonne and London to £4,521/tonne on El Niño concerns, prompting the CCC to slow down its forward sales for the 2026/27 campaign. (New York, London)

1 sources · 07-15

Quality & Storage (1)

TIER 3

Cocoa farmers express deep concern over brown rot (black pod disease) spreading in plantations due to recent heavy rains, threatening bean quality and yields. (Soubré)

1 sources · 07-12

Security & Conflict (4)

TIER 1

4 sources

The Sub-prefect and gendarmerie launched a sensitization campaign against illegal gold mining (orpaillage) to protect agricultural lands. (Famienkro)

4 sources · 07-15

The Gendarmerie destroyed 70 pieces of illegal gold mining equipment in Agoua and Brou-Akpaoussou to target orpaillage in the eastern cocoa belt. (Moronou, Agoua, Brou-Akpaoussou)

1 sources · 07-12

TIER 3

2 sources

Clashes between illegal gold miners and security forces resulted in one death in Kouégo, leading General Alexandre Apalo Touré to reinforce the security presence. (Kouégo)

2 sources · 07-12 to 07-15

Security forces destroyed illegal gold mining dredges on the Sassandra River to target orpaillage competing with cocoa farming for land and labor. (Sassandra River)

1 sources · 07-14

Logistics & Transport (11)

TIER 1

Local populations in the Grand Guibéroua (GUIDIGA) region are calling for urgent road repairs as heavy rains and erosion degrade vital agricultural access roads. (Guibéroua)

1 sources · 07-14

The Prefect of Guitry has ordered palm oil companies Palmivoire and Multipalm to secure the road connecting Guitry to the Coastal highway near Kouta following severe community complaints. (Guitry, Kouta)

1 sources · 07-15

The municipality of Issia launched infrastructure works to install culverts and crossing structures on several local roads to improve mobility and facilitate trade. (Issia)

1 sources · 07-13

TIER 2

6 sources

Severe degradation of the A7 highway corridor and the bridge near Gabiadji due to heavy rains is causing major transport delays for cocoa trucks traveling from the western belt to the Port of San-Pédro. (Soubré, San-Pédro, Gabiadji, A7 Highway)

6 sources · 07-12 to 07-15

TIER 3

A 5 billion FCFA project has been announced to rehabilitate agricultural feeder roads in Aboisso to facilitate cocoa evacuation. (Aboisso)

1 sources · 07-10

Over 150,000 tonnes of cocoa beans were loaded at the Port of San-Pédro over the last two weeks, indicating active export flows. (San-Pédro)

1 sources · 07-15

Road rehabilitation works on the access routes to the Port of San-Pédro are scheduled to begin next month to ease traffic congestion. (San-Pédro)

1 sources · 07-14

Cocoa unloading operations at the Port of San-Pédro have slowed down due to the irregular arrival of transport trucks. (San-Pédro)

1 sources · 07-14

Heavy rains caused flooding that temporarily blocked access to the container terminal at the Port of San-Pédro, directly disrupting cocoa evacuation and shipping schedules. (San-Pédro)

1 sources · 07-12

Temporary closure of the bridge on the A7 highway over the Sassandra River for maintenance directly halted cocoa and rubber transport to San-Pédro port. (Sassandra River, San-Pédro)

1 sources · 07-11

Rehabilitation works are advancing on the A3 national highway on the Yamoussoukro-Bouaké section, facilitating agricultural transport to Abidjan and San-Pédro ports. (Yamoussoukro, Bouaké, Abidjan, San-Pédro)

1 sources · 07-16

Policy & Regulation (8)

TIER 1

19 sources

The top four African cocoa producers (Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, Cameroon, and Nigeria) have established the 'Abuja Alliance' and are considering a coordinated ban on raw cocoa exports to promote domestic industrial processing and counter Western market dominance. (Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, Cameroon, Nigeria)

19 sources · 07-10 to 07-15

4 sources

The Conseil du Café-Cacao and the National Surveillance Committee are reinforcing social traceability to combat child labor by deploying trained specialized agents in cocoa-growing regions. (Côte d'Ivoire)

4 sources · 07-14 to 07-15

Cocoa cooperatives in the Gôh region called on the prefectural corps to intervene urgently to resolve the ongoing cocoa sector crisis. (Gagnoa)

1 sources · 07-09

The prefect of Issia urged local women's associations to formalize their administrative status to access state development projects and funding, directly impacting cooperative structures in the cocoa belt. (Issia)

1 sources · 07-13

TIER 2

2 sources

Local processing company Ivory Cocoa Products is seeking a fresh financial boost to expand its operations. (Côte d'Ivoire)

2 sources · 07-15

TIER 3

2 sources

The Conseil du Café-Cacao is distributing producer cards in Soubré to secure transactions and ensure supply chain traceability. (Soubré)

2 sources · 07-13

Cocoa cooperatives in Soubré are reportedly facing payment delays totaling 500 million FCFA owed to local farmers. (Soubré)

1 sources · 07-11

Public criticism targets the CCC regulator, alleging that the 'priority accorded to the producer' by decree is a lure that worsens poverty for smallholders due to government-administered pricing. (Abidjan)

1 sources · 07-14

Source Confidence Guide

TIER 1	Confirmed	3+ independent primary outlets. Highest confidence.
TIER 2	Corroborated	2 sources, or 1 official/institutional source.
TIER 3	Reported	Single credible source. Cross-reference advised.
TIER 4	Unverified	Limited track record. For awareness only.

High-confidence developments this week:

Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, Nigeria, and Cameroon have formed the Abuja Alliance to halt raw cocoa exports.
The 2026/27 main cocoa crop is projected to decline by more than 10% due to heavy rains and disease.
The Conseil du Café-Cacao is deploying specialized agents to strengthen social traceability and combat child labor.
Farmgate prices in Soubré are reported at 1,500 FCFA/kg, though underbidding is occurring.

Single-source claims (treat with caution):

A 5 billion FCFA project has been announced to rehabilitate agricultural feeder roads in Aboisso.
Cocoa cooperatives in Soubré are reportedly facing payment delays totaling 500 million FCFA.
Sodexam issued an alert for heavy rains in the southern and western regions.
The bridge near Gabiadji on the San-Pédro - Soubré highway is nearly impassable for trucks over 20 tonnes.

This report is provided by Region Alert LLC for informational purposes only and may include translated or third-party material. It is not advice and must not be relied on as the sole basis for any decision. Client is solely responsible for all decisions and outcomes. Subject to our Terms of Service.

Pipeline v5.0 · Format: V5 7-Day Summary · Period: 2026-07-10, 2026-07-16 · Generated: Jul 16, 8:41 AM EDT

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